AT&T Wireless Hoping
Investors Wired For IPO
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The
wireless tracking stock is structured much differently than an earlier
AT&T spin-off; gear maker Lucent Tecbnologies Inc. Lucent,
with its own board of directors, went public in 1996 at $6.75 a share
and has mostly thrived. Its stock hit a high of nearly 85 late last
year, and now trades around 62. Lucent, which got the Bell Labs research and development unit, is free to make sales to AT&T rivals, such as the regional Bells Spin-off
VS. Tracking Some
analysts say that spin-offs like Lucent fare better in highly
competitive markets than do firms structured as tracking stocks. "It
tends to rev up the entrepreneurial zeal when these firms are on their
own," said Joseph Cornell, president of Chicago-based research
firm Spin-Off Advisors LLC. "They
do what they need to do to get ,' efficient, they don't have to beg the
parent firm for anything.". There
may be potential conflicts between the interests of shareholders in
a tracking stock and the parent company, some analysts say. Problems may arise how to spend money or new opportunities because the
same directors make decisions. Take
General Motors Corp. It issued the first tracking stock, for
Electronic Data Systems Corp., in 1984. In 1996, when GM actually spun
off EDS, shareholders sued over some financial dealings between the
firms. GM won. Robert
Wilkes, analyst at Brown Bros. Harriman & Co., also points to US
West Inc. The phone company formed a tracker for its cable business,
MediaOne Group Inc. A
dicey issue popped up, he says, when both companies could bid for new
radio spectrum the government auctioned off, in the mid-1990s for new
wireless services. "You
never know what issues are going to come up," said Wilkes.
"The risk you run with tracking stocks is a splintered set of
shareholder interests where decisions can favor one group or
another." In
AT&T's case, it could face a tough call in how fast to expand
"Project Angel." The fixed wireless system, which AT&T is
testing in Dallas, delivers Internet access via radio antennas hooked up
to houses or businesses. AT&T
says it may spend $350 million this year alone rolling out the fixed
wireless service in a few markets. Expanding that service could crimp
the profits of AT&T Wireless, analysts say. Still,
AT&T may face fewer internal squabbles than rivals, analysts say.
Many rivals have formed partnerships that will require much cooperation. Bell
Atlantic Corp., which plans to merge with GTE Corp., this month forged a
wireless joint venture with U.K.-based Vodafone AirTouch PLC. They
plan to sell shares in the
venture called Verizon Wireless'. Regional Bells SBC Communications Inc. and
BellSouth Corp. also
have formed a wireless joint venture.
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Reinhart Krause Investor's Business Daily |
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Apples
don't fall far from the tree, the saying goes. Nor do tracking stocks
stray far from their parent company's strategy and goals. That'll be the case with AT&T Corp., which
plans to issue a tracking stock Thursday for its fast-growing wireless
phone business. (See related industry table, Page A6.) AT&T will raise from $9.36 billion to
$13.2 billion in what in any case will be the biggest IPO ever in the
U.S. The company's cellular efforts will be graded
by how the IPO fares amid a recent bloodbath in tech stocks. Many
analysts say AT&T will get an "A" if shares rise 10% or so
the first day. The success of the IPO also will be measured
by how AT&T Wireless Inc. shares perform vs. AT&T over the next
few years, analysts say. Issuing a tracking stock should help AT&T
adapt to a market in which competition, prodded by deregulation, 'is
rising fast, observers say. "Tracking
stocks are an effective bridge, a transitional (financing) tool
that helps a company get from where it is today to where it wants to be
in the new economy," said Barbara Byrne, a managing director at
Lehman Bros. Inc. "It works in the telecommunications industry," added Byrne, head of Lehman's tracking stock investment banking group, "where you need tremendous sums of money and a lower cost of capital." 'Best
Of Both Worlds' The
IPO will give AT&T Wireless more money to build networks and make
acquisitions, analysts say. Investors
and AT&T both will benefit from the tracking stock, say AT&T
executives. "We
get the best of both worlds," said Charles Noski, AT&T's chief
financial officer, in a recent interview prior to the self-imposed
"quiet period" proceeding IPOs. He
says that the wireless group will still play a big role in the parent's
strategy. "We
share a common brand, we keep in place the opportunity to bundle
services with other parts of AT&T," he said. "At the same
time. AT&T Wireless has the ability to pursue things with a very
efficient currency." AT&T,
for example, can still package wireless phone service with discounted
long-distance rates and super fast Internet access. Unlike
a total spin-off, AT&T Wireless still will report to the same chief,
C. Michael Armstrong, and the same board of directors as does AT&T
Corp. AT&T's
former president, John Zeglis, is the wireless company's chief
executive. After
the IPO, AT&T still will own the wireless business' key assets, such
as spectrum licenses and nationwide network. But the wireless firm will generate its own cash flow and profits.
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